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Archive for Investments – Page 4

When Stocks Drop That’s NOT The Problem

Posted by Frank McKinley on
 May 19, 2020

Sometimes, when it comes to investing, volatile markets aren’t your worse enemy. You are.  Unfortunately, our brains often play tricks on us, causing even the savviest of investors to make decisions that don’t really make a lot of sense, such as panic selling or ignoring opportunities.

The problem of psychological investing traps is so pervasive, in fact, that there’s a whole field dedicated to studying it called behavioral finance. Researchers in this discipline look at the way psychology affects how we make financial decisions. Knowing about these traps can help you avoid them and make you a better investor. Here are seven psychological traps to keep in
mind.

Sunk Costs Bias — The sunk costs bias has to do with the all-too common tendency to stick with
something, whether a bad boyfriend or a bad investment, long after it’s clear that it’s not worth it anymore. Still, because you’ve invested a certain
amount of time or money, you’re reluctant to give it up. In investing, you might end up hanging on to a stock long after you should sell it in the vain hope that you’ll eventually come out ahead. But in
these cases, it’s better to cut your losses rather than to hang on to a loser.

Familiarity Bias — Most of us are biased toward what is familiar to us. We head to restaurants we’ve been to before and follow the same roads to work because we know what to expect. With  investing, familiarity bias involves favoring investments that are familiar to you. You might prefer to invest in the company you work for or big-name businesses that are in the news. That
could cause you to overlook important opportunities you don’t know as much about.

Anchoring — Anchoring is the process of getting attached to a particular reference point – such as the price you paid for a stock — and using that to guide future decisions. Or you might fixate on a stock’s previous high, even though that price was an anomaly. Anchoring is why buyers think they got a great deal when buying a car for $50,000 when the initial price was $60,000, even though the car’s really worth $40,000.

Whether buying stocks or cars, anchoring involves using a single piece of information to determine what a stock or other investment
should be worth while also discounting more relevant information, such as a company’s fundamentals or broader economic trends. Unfortunately, avoiding anchoring is difficult,
but considering all available information before choosing an investment can help.

Focusing Too Much on the Recent Past —  Recency bias is the tendency to make decisions or judgments based on relatively new or recent information. For example, during times when the market is up, people may ignore or discount the
possibility of a market decline. Or, if a certain category of stocks has done poorly recently, people may conclude that those stocks always have negative returns, even if the dip is an anomaly. You can avoid this mistake by doing your best to consider the entire universe of information at your fingertips, not just what happened yesterday.

Following the Herd – While following trends might be fine for fashionistas, it’s not always a smart investing move. Yet herd investing

is an all-too-easy trap to fall into. If everyone is telling you that now’s the time to get into a certain hot investment, you may feel you need to act fast so you don’t miss out. But just because something is popular doesn’t make it a good investment. Blindly following the herd without first consulting your own financial goals and plan doesn’t make you a smart investor.

Overconfidence — Most of us like to think we’re smarter than the average person. If you hit it big
with a certain investment, you may over-attribute that success to your skill rather than what it really is — luck. That can cause you to repeat
the same behavior again.

Panic — Investing isn’t for the faint of heart. When the market takes a sudden dip, it’s easy to
panic, which can lead you to make bad decisions, such as selling at a big loss, rather than riding out the natural hills and valleys of investing.
Making these emotionally driven choices costs you a lot of money. When making investing decisions,  make sure they’re based on evidence, not your initial gut reaction to the day’s events.
Avoiding psychological investing traps on your own can be difficult. 

phychological traps when watching the stock market

Please call me at 973-515-5184 or contact me
if you’d like to discuss this in more detail.

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Copyright © 2020. Some articles in this newsletter were prepared by Integrated Concepts, a separate, non-affiliated business entity. This newsletter intends to offer factual and up-to-date information on the subjects discussed but should not be regarded as a complete analysis of these subjects. Professional advisers should be consulted before implementing any options presented. No party assumes liability for any loss or damage resulting from errors or omissions or reliance on or use of this material.

Categories : Blog, financial planning, Financial Services, Investments, Stocks

Some Short-Term Advice

Posted by Frank McKinley on
 April 15, 2020

First, let me thank all medical professionals, EMTs, Police, Fire, Safety and Essential Service workers for their efforts to help the public.

 Some asked me about the reference in my last email regarding the ‘number of epidemics over the last 40 years’, – they appear below.  My point simply is, we’ve seen tragic illness affect many over the centuries, not just in our times. Yet the financial markets have recovered, often in as little as six to 12 months and if it took longer, it was rare.

Not to make light of any illness, my picture appeared on the front page of the Herald News of Passaic, NJ in ‘55 wailing my eyes out having just received my Salk vaccine for polio. Remember, it crippled FDR, perhaps the greatest modern POTUS and killed many.

 

The best short-term advice I can offer is stop watching the news, especially financial news, take a short dose daily if you must just don’t leave it on all day! Practice social distancing and follow the rules to prevent the spread. Maintain PERSPECTIVE and things will get better- just look at history.

“To buy when others are despondently selling and to sell when others are greedily buying requires the greatest fortitude and pays the greatest reward.”-Sir John Templeton

Going back to 1930, if an investor missed the S&P 500’s 10 best days in each decade, total returns would be just 91%, significantly below the 14,962% returns for investors who held steady through the downturns. – CNBC, March 7, 2020

 

If you are concerned with the current crisis or have questions,
PLEASE call or email me and I will reply expeditiously.
MY JOB IS TO BE HERE WHEN THINGS ARE BAD!

 

Categories : Blog, Financial Services, Investments

Is It Time to Review Your IRA Estate Planning Strategies?

Posted by Frank McKinley on
 March 19, 2020

The Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement (SECURE) Act, which was passed in December 2019 as part of a larger federal spending package, included a provision that warrants special attention from those who own high-value IRAs. Specifically, the “stretch” IRA provision — which permitted non-spouse beneficiaries who inherited IRAs to spread distributions over their lifetimes — has been substantially restricted. IRA owners may want to revisit their estate planning strategies to help prevent their heirs from getting hit with higher-than-expected tax bills.

The old “stretch” rules

Under the old rules, a nonspouse beneficiary who inherited IRA assets was required to begin minimum distributions within a certain time frame. Annual distributions could be calculated based on the beneficiary’s life expectancy. This ability to spread out taxable distributions over a lifetime helped minimize the annual tax burden on the beneficiary. In the past, individuals could use this stretch IRA strategy to allow large IRAs to continue benefiting from potential tax-deferred growth for possibly decades.

Example: Consider the hypothetical case of Margaret, a single, 52-year-old banking executive who inherited a million-dollar IRA from her 85-year-old father. Margaret had to begin taking required minimum distributions (RMDs) from her father’s IRA by December 31 of the year following her father’s death. She was able to base the annual distribution amount on her life expectancy of 32.3 years. Since she didn’t really need the money, she took only the minimum amount required each year, allowing the account to continue growing. Upon Margaret’s death at age 70, the remaining assets passed to her 40-year-old son, who then continued taking distributions over the remaining 13.3 years of Margaret’s life expectancy. The account was able to continue growing for many years.

The new rules

As of January 2020, the rules for inherited IRAs changed dramatically for most nonspouse beneficiaries.1 Now they generally are required to liquidate the account within 10 years of the account owner’s death. This shorter distribution period could result in unanticipated and potentially large tax bills for high-value inherited IRAs.

Example: Under the new rules, Margaret would have to empty the account, in whatever amounts she chooses, within 10 years. Since she stands to earn her highest-ever salaries during that time frame, the distributions could push her into the highest tax bracket at both the federal and state levels. Because the account funds would be depleted after 10 years, they would not eventually pass to her son, and her tax obligations in the decade leading up to her retirement would be much higher than she anticipated.

Notable exceptions

The new rule specifically affects most nonspouse designated beneficiaries who are more than 10 years younger than the original account owner. However, key exceptions apply to those who are known as “eligible designated beneficiaries” — a spouse or minor child of the account owner; those who are not more than 10 years younger than the account owner (such as a close-in-age sibling or other relative); and disabled and chronically ill individuals, as defined by the IRS. The 10-year distribution rule will also apply once a child beneficiary reaches the age of majority and when a successor beneficiary inherits account funds from an initial eligible designated beneficiary.

A word about trusts

In the past, individuals with high-value IRAs have often used what’s known as conduit — or “pass-through” — trusts to manage the distribution of inherited IRA assets. The trusts helped protect the assets from creditors and helped ensure that beneficiaries didn’t spend down their inheritances too quickly. However, conduit trusts are now subject to the same 10-year liquidation requirements, so the new rules may render null and void some of the original reasons the trusts were established.

What can IRA account owners do?

IRA account owners should review their beneficiary designations with their financial or tax professional and consider how the new rules may affect inheritances and taxes. Any strategies that include trusts as beneficiaries should be considered especially carefully. Other strategies account owners may want to consider include converting traditional IRAs to Roths; bringing life insurance, charitable remainder trusts, or accumulation trusts into the mix; and planning for qualified charitable distributions.

1For account owners who died prior to December 31, 2019, the old rules apply to the initial beneficiary only (i.e., successor beneficiaries will be subject to the 10-year rule).

If you have questions or would like more information
please contact Frank


Representatives are registered through, and securities are sold through Nationwide Planning Associates, Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC, located at 115 West Century Road, Suite 360, Paramus, NJ 07652. Investment advisory services are offered through NPA Asset Management, LLC. Insurance sold through licensed NPA Insurance Agency, Inc. agents. Nationwide Planning Associates, Inc. and Frankly Financial are non-affiliated entities.
This communication is strictly intended for individuals residing in the state(s) of CO, CT, FL, NJ, NY, NC, OH, PA and RI. No offers may be made or accepted from any resident outside the specific states referenced.
Prepared by Broadridge Advisor Solutions Copyright 2020.

 

 

Categories : Financial Services, Investments, IRA, Retirement
Tags : IRA, ROTH, Trusts

World Epidemics and Global Stock Market Performance

Posted by Frank McKinley on
 March 4, 2020

Keep things in PERSPECTIVE!

Though the current news about Coronavirus is far from good, we’ve seen this movie before, and recovered from it EVERY TIME!  Remember, there have been 13 “world epidemics” since the mid-80’s and within six months the market had recovered from nearly all averaging a gain of 8.5%.

World epidemics and global stock market performanceIf you have any concerns about current market volatility,
PLEASE CONTACT ME!

 

Categories : Financial Services, Investments

What’s the Worst?

Posted by Frank McKinley on
 January 13, 2020

If you had let EVERY bit of BAD NEWS over the last 30 years keep you OUT of the market,
what would you have missed?

If you think THIS Iranian/Oil ‘crisis’, or threatening geopolitical situation is much different,
keep your head in the sand!

But should you realize that it too shall pass, that the market is simply stronger than the crisis Du Jour,
then PLEASE call me.

And we’ll get through it, plan for your financial future & retirement and your children’s’ education together!

DON’T MISS OUT ON THE HISTORY OF THE MARKET!
It is just too strong to ignore. Maintain perspective.

30 reasons not to invest over the past 30 years

Contact Frank if you would like to discuss your plan for your financial future & retirement
or your children’s’ education.

 

 

Categories : Blog, Financial Services, Investing, Investments, Retirement

Hindsight Is 2020: What Will You Do Differently This Year?

Posted by Frank McKinley on
 January 6, 2020

According to a recent survey, 76% of Americans reported having at least one financial regret. Over half of this group said it had to do with savings: 27% didn’t start saving for retirement soon enough, 19% didn’t contribute enough to an emergency fund, and 10% wish they had saved more for college.1

The saving conundrum

What’s preventing Americans from saving more? It’s a confluence of factors: stagnant wages over many years; the high cost of housing and college; meeting everyday expenses for food, utilities, and child care; and squeezing in unpredictable expenses for things like health care, car maintenance, and home repairs. When expenses are too high, people can’t save, and they often must borrow to buy what they need or want, which can lead to a never-ending cycle of debt.

People make financial decisions all the time, and sometimes these decisions don’t pan out as intended. Hindsight is 20/20, of course. Looking back, would you change anything?

Paying too much for housing

Are housing costs straining your budget? A standard lender guideline is to allocate no more than 28% of your income toward housing expenses, including your monthly mortgage payment, real estate taxes, homeowners insurance, and association dues (the “front-end” ratio), and no more than 36% of your income to cover all your monthly debt obligations, including housing expenses plus credit card bills, student loans, car loans, child support, and any other debt that shows on your credit report and requires monthly payments (the “back-end” ratio).

But just because a lender determines how much you can afford to borrow doesn’t mean you should. Why not set your ratios lower? Many things can throw off your ability to pay your monthly mortgage bill down the road — a job loss, one spouse giving up a job to take care of children, an unexpected medical expense, tuition bills for you or your child.

Potential solutions: To lower your housing costs, consider downsizing to a smaller home (or apartment) in the same area, researching and moving to a less expensive town or state, or renting out a portion of your current home. In addition, watch interest rates and refinance when the numbers make sense.

Paying too much for college

Outstanding student debt levels in the United States are off the charts, and it’s not just students who are borrowing. Approximately 15 million student loan borrowers are age 40 and older, and this demographic accounts for almost 40% of all student loan debt.2

Potential solutions: If you have a child in college now, ask the financial aid office about the availability of college-sponsored scholarships for current students, or consider having your child transfer to a less expensive school. If you have a child who is about to go to college, run the net price calculator that’s available on every college’s website to get an estimate of what your out-of-pocket costs will be at that school. Look at state universities or community colleges, which tend to be the most affordable. For any school, understand exactly how much you and/or your child will need to borrow — and what the monthly loan payment will be after graduation — before signing any loan documents.

Paying too much for your car

Automobile prices have grown rapidly in the last decade, and most drivers borrow to pay for their cars, with seven-year loans becoming more common.3 As a result, a growing number of buyers won’t pay off their auto loans before they trade in their cars for a new one, creating a cycle of debt.

Potential solutions: Consider buying a used car instead of a new one, be proactive with maintenance and tuneups, and try to use public transportation when possible to prolong the life of your car. As with your home, watch interest rates and refinance when the numbers make sense.

Keeping up with the Joneses

It’s easy to want what your friends, colleagues, or neighbors have — nice cars, trips, home amenities, memberships — and spend money (and possibly go into debt) to get them. That’s a mistake. Live within your means, not someone else’s.

Potential solutions: Aim to save at least 10% of your current income for retirement and try to set aside a few thousand dollars for an emergency fund (three to six months’ worth of monthly expenses is a common guideline). If you can’t do that, cut back on discretionary items, look for ways to lower your fixed costs, or explore ways to increase your current income.

1Bankrate’s Financial Security Index, May 2019
2Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Student Loan Data and Demographics, September 2018
3The Wall Street Journal, The Seven-Year Auto Loan: America’s Middle Class Can’t Afford Their Cars, October 1, 2019
Prepared by Broadridge Investor Communication Solutions, Inc. Copyright 2020.
Categories : Blog, Financial Services, Investments, Retirement
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